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September 16, 2014

Take Three - Aviva Premiership Round 3 Preview


After 12 matches and 607 points Round 3 of the Aviva Premiership is fast approaching us. Round 2 was quite the weekend as emotions ran high all over the country and I expect that a number of you, like myself, am still recovering from the highs and lows of the round.

The Round 3 action starts at Kingsholm where Gloucester Rugby will host the Exeter Chiefs. Gloucester showed an immense amount of resilience and fortitude to bounce back from their Round 1 annihilation and turn around the weekend’s match against the Sale Sharks and in Round 3 they must step up once again. The Exeter Chiefs will arrive in Gloucester with a bee in their bonnet after coming so close to beating Leicester and will vent their frustration on the home side. Form wise, Exeter have won two of their last three visits to Kingsholm however Gloucester nicked the last match between the two sides in March by a single point. It will be a game filled with tempo, both sides love to play at pace and let their backs ignite proceedings; the Chiefs could unleash a fit again Jack Nowell, who played his first rugby in 19 weeks in the A League on Monday night however it might be too soon. Gloucester aren’t expected to shake things up in terms of selection as their squad understanding is still forming. The importance of securing back to back wins at Kingsholm is hugely significant for Gloucester however Exeter have started this year with a bang and raised their bar by about forty feet from last year. It will be a fascinating game to watch!

On Saturday the Sale Sharks host London Welsh at the AJ Bell Stadium as they looked to gain their first win of the Aviva Premiership season. 0 from 2 was not the start that Steve Diamond intended however with all due respect to London Welsh the home side are expected to finish Round 3 with a win. London Welsh delivered a much stronger performance at The Rec however their defence remains a huge issue having shipped 105 points in two games. London Welsh should compete well at the set piece with Ricky Reeves, Nathan Morris and Taione Vea and they have pace and invention out the back with Seb Jewell and Seb Stegmann in particular. I fully expect to see a full box of Danny Cipriani tricks on display and physical offerings from across the park for Diamond was not a happy man following their Round 2 loss. The Sharks must not chase the win too early and be impatient, instead they must focus on delivering the performance and let the result take care of itself. For London Welsh, as with the case every week, the phrase ‘going for broke’ is appropriate and once again, sounding like a true broken record, upping their tackle completion rate and firming up their defensive line will be crucial if they are to get anything from the game.

This weekend in South West London Harlequins will host Wasps at the Twickenham Stoop. Harlequins’ performance against Saracens was distinctly below par; they dominated in terms of the total territory (60%) and possession (62%) and yet were nil’ed by their opposition. I’d say the less spoken about it the better because it wasn’t one of their finest hours. At the complete opposite end of the spectrum Wasps recorded one of their most significant wins in the Aviva Premiership in recent years against the Northampton Saints. Wasps’ gargantuan physical effort was matched by their invention in attack as they showed to the Premiership world exactly what they can do. Dai Young’s words of ‘why are we surprised?’ will echo in every Wasps' ears as they run out on the field this weekend aiming to prove that the high of Saints was not just a one off. Personally I’m excited to see the Joe Simpson versus Danny Care clash at scrum half, selection permitting; both are have searing pace and are competitive and feisty characters. I expect that Harlequins will bounce back and I’m predicting a competitive clash however for what it is worth I believe that Wasps might just squeeze this one.

London Irish have the pleasure of hosting Saracens for their first home game of the season at the Madejski Stadium. Saracens were extremely impressive in Round 2, clinical with a capital C and of course consistency is their middle name. The Exiles have not won back-to-back games in the tournament since February and it will be a tough ask to do so against Saracens however they were the last team to beat Mark McCall’s side in the regular competition. The arm wrestle at scrum time will be great to watch with Tom Court, David Paice and Halani Aulika expected to be fronting up against Richard Barrington, Jamie George and Kieran Longbottom, assuming neither Director of Rugby rotates his personnel. Irish must lower their error count and work extremely hard to find holes in the most organised defence in the Aviva Premiership. Saracens have no real need to change anything, whilst there are likely to be a few personnel changes due to their rotational policy, none will make any difference to their performance level and a bonus point win will be the aim.

The final game on Saturday is at The Rec where Bath Rugby welcome the Leicester Tigers to town. I cannot wait for this match; in my eyes it falls in the 'humdinger' category. Mike Ford wasn’t wholly happy with his side's Round 2 performance and it goes without saying that Bath will raise their game against such esteemed opposition. Leicester showed steely resolve to hold out against the Chiefs and will roll into town fired up for this, the first of their clashes against a one of the top sides. From 1 to 15 the expected head to heads are captivating and of course the most intriguing of the lot is the Freddie Burns versus George Ford showdown which I believe will be phenomenal. If Stuart Lancaster isn’t in the crowd at The Rec then he will certainly be tuning into BT Sport to see his two young fly halves tussle for supremacy. Am I going to pick a winner at this point in the week? Absolutely not!!! On home soil Bath will be resilient however the Tigers love to break up a party... all in all it has the potential to be the clash of the weekend.

Finally on Sunday the Newcastle Falcons entertain the Northampton Saints at Kingston Park. Dean Richards’ has already said that it will be a ‘hard day at the office’ however he rightly pointed out that ‘sometimes they are the best days because you have nothing to lose you just go out there play your heart out.’ The Northampton Saints will be smarting after their Round 2 loss, it was not the plan and it will have hurt them a lot. Jim Mallinder may be forced to rotate a few individuals in order to manage bumps and bruises, however when the teams are announced on Friday lunchtime I predict that it will be a strong Saints’ contingent heading up to Kingston Park. This week Richards will try to impose on his team the importance of staying calm, fronting up and taking your changes when they arrive. The Falcons always give everything for 80 minutes and boy will they need to with a scorned Saints in town. Everything points to a Saints victory, with a bonus point and with respect to the Falcons personally I cannot see the result going any other way.

Across the country in the Aviva Premiership Round 3 there are huge clashes, they are the type of clashes that make you wish the week away and then want to watch as much rugby as possible from Friday night to Sunday afternoon. Will Harlequins redeem themselves? Will Gloucester ignite Kingsholm once again? Which side will end victorious at the Rec? There are so many questions hanging just waiting to be answered, it will be an almighty round of Aviva Premiership rugby!!