So, in terms of the race for the final two playoff spots a little background is required prior to the usual match previews. Mathematically Saracens, Leicester and the Exeter Chiefs remain in the hunt and the key match is the East Midlands Derby between Leicester and the Northampton Saints. If Leicester deliver a victory then they secure themselves third place, for a victory takes them to 68 points and crucially they have won an extra game over Saracens and Exeter, the other two sides that could achieve 68 points. If both Saracens and Exeter achieve bonus point victories then it will go down to points difference as to which progresses, due to the fact they both have won the same number of games this season, they're difference going into the round is just three! If Leicester lose then they could miss out entirely, however if the Chiefs lose too then fourth is Leicester's and they set up another East Midland's Semi Final Derby. Now, if I went into the losing bonus point or draw scenarios then we could be here for a while so I won't... the long and the short of it is that this weekend wins and points are imperative and then it is time to get the calculators out!!
The Exeter Chiefs will welcome the Sale Sharks to Sandy Park knowing that they have to go for broke and then see what happens elsewhere. The Sale Sharks' fate depends on Wasps' result however with the synchronised kick off times mean that they will have to play to win, there's no other option. The prospect of Exeter’s exciting centres Hill, Slade or even Nowell, depending on who is selected, facing off against Sale’s powerhouses, Tuitupou and Leota, is an exciting one. The home side will be willing Thomas Waldrom on to score the couple more tries that would take him into the record books and as a collective they'll need to think clearly under pressure, for this isn't the time to let their emotions get the better of them. Home advantage should help significantly and I expect Exeter to deliver a big performance.
One match that won't impact proceedings at the top but will be a belting clash is the West Country Derby between Bath Rugby and Gloucester Rugby at The Rec. Whilst Bath Rugby have already qualified for the playoffs following their victory at Harlequins Mike Ford spoke about the benefits of attacking the knockouts with confidence and momentum so I'm expecting a strong XV to be selected. Gloucester also have a match beyond this one to think about and judging by David Humprheys’ previous decisions I’d expect him to place a few of his big guns on the bench and start others in front of them. For both sides a win is paramount to head into their next fixtures on a high and that can only be achieved by maintaining their structures, discipline and composure in the face of their fiercest Aviva Premiership rival... the stage is set for a good’un!!
Finally Harlequins will make the long journey up North to take on the Newcastle Falcons at Kingston Park. In terms of the table standings this one won’t have any impact on the race for the final European Champions Cup qualification spot or the playoffs however it will be a competitive fixture. Harlequins are likely to field a few men that haven’t had as much game time as they would like like season and with that adds immediate personal motivation for players to do themselves justice. The home side are without a win in their last eight domestic outings and will be bitterly disappointed with their confirmed 11th place finish so I expect them to go all out to show that their improvement is more marked than their constant finish in the table suggests.
